Forecast statergy - Univariant Forecast profile

[former_member225637]

Dear Expert ,

what is Univariant Forecast profile .. ?

when creating Forecasting profile there are many Forecasting statergy

is there any guidlines when to use which statergy

For Instance below are some FC statergy , when creation profile which one i need to use ?

11 First-order exponential smoothing

12 Constant model with automatic alpha adaptation (1st order)

13 Moving average

14 Weighted moving average

20 Forecast with trend models (strategy 21)

21 Holt's method

22 Second-order exponential smoothing

23 Trend model with automatic alpha adaptation (2nd order)

30 Forecast with seasonal models (strategy 31)

31 Seasonal Model Based on Winters' Method

35 Seasonal Linear Regression

Thanks & Regards

Raj

[Former Member · Accepted solution]

Hi Raj,

Please refer to following SAP Help link for details related to Univariate forecasting :

http://help.sap.com/saphelp_scm70/helpdata/en/19/98ad1765354d7ba54b1eb164c377e0/frameset.htm

http://www.sas.com/offices/NA/canada/downloads/presentations/Victoria2008/Time.pdf

There are some good information documents on Wiki for APO Demand Planning processes.

I suggest to go through these. These will help you.

http://wiki.sdn.sap.com/wiki/display/SCM/APO-DP

One document link is given below:

http://www.sdn.sap.com/irj/scn/index?rid=/library/uuid/2bb941f8-0a01-0010-88a6-ee870ea61a13

Regards

Datta

[former_member225637 · Accepted solution]

Dear Datta,

Thanks for your useful Links and Reply

i am closing the thread

Thanks & Regards

Raj

[Former Member]

Hi

Please find below the link which will give more information regarding Univariate Forecasting. Univariate forecasting provides methods that allow you to forecast the following time series patterns

http://help.sap.com/saphelp_em70/helpdata/en/ac/216b6b337b11d398290000e8a49608/content.htm

Choosing the right forecasting strategy is essential for improving the statistical forecast accuracy. Please find below the link which will give you more information regarding different Univariate Forecasting profiles.

http://help.sap.com/saphelp_scm50/helpdata/en/ac/216b6e337b11d398290000e8a49608/content.htm

I think you can analysis your sales history for your portfolio and decide which Univariate Forecasting profiles you require to create and assign them to respective products.

Please let us know if you require any more information from our side.

Thanks

Amol